Match Info

LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Angola	20:00	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin, T Sports
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Cambodia	02:00	MyTV
Canada	15:00	TSN 2, TSN+
China	03:00	Migu
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 2, ESPN
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	21:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 2
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Suriname	16:00	QN Sports, SCCN
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	03:00	DAZN
Tajikistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport
Turkmenistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ABC, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Madrid		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	10	Watch
	1.22	7.00	11.50
	1.22	6.6	12	Watch
	1.25	7.01	11.79
	1.23	7.1	11	Watch
	1.22	6.9	11
	1.29	6.6	11.1	Watch
	1.22	7	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.27)	6.9 ↑ (6.2)	11.17 ↑ (9.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
77.6%

Draw
13.9%

Sevilla
8.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

74.9%

15.3%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	6.1%	3%

Real Madrid - Sevilla Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (5.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Real (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH -1.75 - Real Madrid (1.82) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

First Goalscorer - Kylian Mbappe (3.25) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - Real Madrid & Yes (2.50) (votes: 80%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 8. Valverde F. (C) 16. Konate I. 4. Huijsen D. 17. Cucurella M. 5. Bellingham J. 14. Tchouameni A. 9. Endrick 15. Guler A. 25. Diomande Y. 10. Mbappe K.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 5. Castrin 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 6. Agoume L. 24. Fofana Y. 11. Vargas R. 10. Peque 20. Correia F. 9. Ure R.
Substitutes
12. Alexander-Arnold T. 6. Camavinga E. 18. Carreras A. 21. Diaz B. 24. Dumfries D. 3. Eder Militao 19. Espi C. 13. Lunin A. (G) 31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 27. Pitarch T. 22. Rudiger A. 20. Silva B.	14. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 22. Carmona J. A. 29. Cruz J. 3. Diaz J. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 27. Guillen N. 33. Romero R. (G) 12. Sangante A. 19. Stassin L.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Huijsen D. 🟨,
23', Correia F. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Vargas R. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
56', Ure R. ↓, Stassin L. ↑,
56', Peque ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
63', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Iglesias J. 🟨,
69', Bellingham J. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
70', Endrick ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
72', Iglesias J. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
73', Correia F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
73', Cucurella M. 🟨,
78', Guler A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Bueno M. ⚽, Stassin L. (A),
82', 4 - 1, Diomande Y. ⚽, Tchouameni A. (A),
85', Mbappe K. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
85', Valverde F. ↓, Eder Militao ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.

Real has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Sevilla has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sevilla could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Real as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Real: Asencio R. (Broken Leg) Mendy F. (Hip Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Vinicius Junior (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Sevilla: Guridi J. (Muscle Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Calf Injury) Marcao (Muscle Injury) Munoz I. (Injury) Romero I. (Red Card) Sierra M. (Shoulder Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Real has recorded 15 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:20 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 27:8 goals (averaging 2.7:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	25:10	15	24
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16:16	0	17

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 23.72% Sevilla: 0.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Roma - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Real Madrid - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Elche - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
12.10.26	Levante - Sevilla	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sevilla - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.09.26	Sevilla - Barcelona	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sevilla - Valencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0
18.05.25	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:2
22.12.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	4:2
25.02.24	Real Madrid - Sevilla	1:0
21.10.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:1
27.05.23	Sevilla - Real Madrid	1:2

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