Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Klagenfurt Kunstrasen (Klagenfurt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	DAZN
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN
Germany	Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Mexico	Claro Sports, DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Peru	DAZN App
Spain	Real Madrid TV
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN
World	Pluto TV


	Real Madrid		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.33	3.60	Watch
	1.85	3.70	3.20
	1.83	4.00	3.60
	1.85	3.85	3.45
	1.86	4.1	3.53	Watch
	1.79	3.65	3.35
	1.71	4.41	3.89	Watch
	1.84	4.00	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.34)	4.01 ↓ (5.55)	3.52 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
50.9%

Draw
23%

Fiorentina
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

16.5%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fiorentina's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Real Madrid - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lunin A. (G) 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 27. Martinez J. 36. Rivas M. 18. Carreras A. 8. Valverde F. (C) 6. Camavinga E. 33. Dumfries D. 15. Guler A. 39. Ciria A. 29. Endrick	1. de Gea D. (C) 29. Jimenez A. 6. Dragusin R. 18. Ranieri L. 16. Viery 19. Mandragora R. 4. Atta A. 32. Inao Oulai C. 20. Ndour C. 9. Gudmundsson A. 24. Piccoli R.
Substitutes
32. Cestero Sancho J. 40. Espi C. 28. Fati L. 31. Fortea J. 37. Garcia A. 35. Lacosta D. 26. Mestre S. (G) 34. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 41. Ortega J. 38. Yanez D.	21. Braschi R. 12. Christensen O. (G) 26. Croci F. 27. Deli L. 3. Dodo 8. Fabbian G. 11. Fagioli N. 14. Fortini N. 23. Kean M. 25. Kospo E. 33. Lezzerini L. (G) 28. Mazzeo B. 2. Valdepenas V.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Endrick ⚽, Carreras A. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Ciria A. ⚽, Camavinga E. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Piccoli R. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', de Gea D. ↓, Christensen O. ↑,
51', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
56', Jimenez A. ↓, Dodo ↑,
56', Piccoli R. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
57', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Fagioli N. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Kean M. ⚽, Fagioli N. (A),
64', Ciria A. ↓, Cestero Sancho J. ↑,
70', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
75', Endrick ↓, Espi C. ↑,
75', Dumfries D. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
76', Ranieri L. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
76', Ndour C. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
84', Valverde F. ↓, Lacosta D. ↑,
84', Atta A. ↓, Croci F. ↑,
85', Mandragora R. ↓, Deli L. ↑,
87', Guler A. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
88', Fagioli N. 🟨,

Preview

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 68.49%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Real Madrid - Leganés	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.05.26	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Real Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL
- Fiorentina
Club Friendly
29.07.26	Watford - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Queens Park Rangers - Fiorentina	3:2 ✺
22.07.26	Fiorentina - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.05.26	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Juventus - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.08.17	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:1
16.08.14	Fiorentina - Real Madrid	2:1

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