The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Madrid C 29.2%
Draw 30.5%
Conquense 40.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
28.7%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
27.2%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Real Madrid C - Conquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Perez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 2, Alvaro Merencio ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid C won 1.
Real Madrid C is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Conquense is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Conquense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid C has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Madrid C against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Conquense
8
5
2
1
18:9
9
17
18
Real Madrid C
8
0
5
3
1:6
-5
5
Last Results with these Odds
Conquense - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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