Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Conquense

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.4	4.25
	1.82	3.38	4.78
	1.64	3.62	4.94	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.63	3.42	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.75)	3.43 ↓ (3.53)	4.73 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
54.1%

Draw
26.6%

Conquense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Real Madrid C - Conquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Quique (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Conquense is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Real Madrid C is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Conquense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Madrid C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Madrid C is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid C won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Conquense	5	3	1	1	10:7	3	10
18	Real Madrid C	5	0	3	2	1:4	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.04.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Real Madrid C	0:3 ✺
14.04.26	Real Madrid C - Colonia Moscardó	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Las Palmas B - Real Madrid C	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Madrid C - Coria	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWLT
- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.04.26	Conquense - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Navalcarnero - Conquense	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Conquense - Socuéllamos	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Orihuela - Conquense	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Conquense - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:0
27.04.25	Conquense - Real Madrid C	1:1
15.12.24	Real Madrid C - Conquense	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.04.14	Real Madrid C - Conquense	4:1
01.12.13	Conquense - Real Madrid C	2:0

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