Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Real Madrid C		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.2	2.98	3.05
	2.56	2.93	2.87
	2.25	2.93	3.32	Watch
	2.29	2.89	3.17
	2.28	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.11)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid C
40%

Draw
31.1%

Navalcarnero
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

30.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid C than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-2%)

Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Villar J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent form of Real Madrid C has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Navalcarnero is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Madrid C may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Navalcarnero has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Madrid C won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid C
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Alcalá - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Madrid C - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Tenerife B - Real Madrid C	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Real Madrid C - Quintanar del Rey	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Real Madrid C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLL
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.12.25	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Navalcarnero - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Navalcarnero - Getafe	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.01.25	Real Madrid C - Navalcarnero	0:0
07.09.24	Navalcarnero - Real Madrid C	2:1

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