Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2
	2.92	3	2.28
	3.19	3.03	2.34
	3.13	3.28	2.16	Watch
	3.12	3.22	2.29
	3.1	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	2.26 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
29.8%

Draw
29.6%

San Sebastian Reyes
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.1%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Elche Ilicitano - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 0 - 1, Ocana J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Konare U. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Ilicitano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SS Reyes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Elche Ilicitano	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
25.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Elche Ilicitano	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLLL
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Socuéllamos - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Las Palmas B	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Conquense - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Coria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLW

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