Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Hércules

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.02	3.1	3.83
	1.99	3.13	3.77	Watch
	2	3.18	3.73
	2.05	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.24)	3.13 ↑ (3.12)	3.69 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
45.8%

Draw
29.3%

Hércules
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

31%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fran (G) 14. Ramon J. 5. Asencio R. 3. Cuenca D. 22. Jimenez D. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 9. Munoz V. 19. Zuniga L. 7. Garcia G.	1. Trujillo Hernandez A. C. (G) 20. Sotillos A. 4. Montoro A. 5. Gomez Meneses J. M. 21. Retu 6. Colomina R. 14. Garcia M. 22. Aranda A. 18. Soldevila O. 9. Coscia A. 10. Espinosa N. (C)
Substitutes
27. Fortuny P. 35. Ortega J. 33. Perea C. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 28. Ribes K. 29. Rivas M. 17. Ruiz D.	13. Almodovar N. (G) 7. Alvarito 16. Angong F. 8. Artiles J. 2. Cantero R. 3. del Moral A. 24. de Palmas R. 19. Mangada C. 17. Mendes M. 11. Moreno Sanchez J. 12. Richmond S. 23. Romera D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Cuenca D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽,
64', Garcia M. 🟨,
67', Espinosa N. ↓, Richmond S. ↑,
67', Aranda A. ↓, Romera D. ↑,
73', 🟨,
74', Richmond S. 🟨,
82', Coscia A. ↓, Mendes M. ↑,
82', Soldevila O. ↓, Moreno Sanchez J. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Real Madrid Castilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hércules is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTLL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.09.24	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ibiza - Hércules	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Hércules - Intercity	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Alcorcón - Hércules	4:1 ✺
24.08.24	Hércules - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.14	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	4:0
31.08.13	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
11.03.13	Real Madrid Castilla - Hércules	1:1
08.10.12	Hércules - Real Madrid Castilla	2:4

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