Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Las Palmas B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.4	5.5
	1.65	3.5	4.9
	1.5	3.63	5.38
	1.53	4.15	5.97
	1.52	3.9	5.8
	1.53	3.92	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	3.75 ↑ (3.34)	5.57 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
59.2%

Draw
24.4%

Las Palmas B
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Las Palmas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Las Palmas B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.20	Langreo - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Peña Deportiva	3:1 ✺
19.01.20	Marino de Luanco - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Rozas	2:2 ✺
08.01.20	Celta de Vigo B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTW
- Las Palmas B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
02.02.20	Las Palmas B - Atlético Madrid B	1:0 ✺
26.01.20	Real Oviedo B - Las Palmas B	0:0 ✺
19.01.20	Las Palmas B - Atlético Baleares	2:1 ✺
15.01.20	Ibiza - Las Palmas B	1:0 ✺
05.01.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Las Palmas B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.09.19	Las Palmas B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
13.01.19	Las Palmas B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
26.08.18	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Palmas B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.15	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Palmas B	5:1
09.11.14	Las Palmas B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2

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