Match Info

Date: 10 February 2021, Wednesday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.15	3.75
	1.99	3	3.7
	2.1	3.2	3.92
	1.98	3.28	3.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)	3.17 ↓ (3.28)	3.73 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
46.3%

Draw
29%

Las Rozas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

27.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

16.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid Castilla's form might have worsened.

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Las Rozas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Rozas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 10 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Relegation Group)).

Real Madrid Castilla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Las Rozas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Las Rozas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Las Rozas have a series of home games.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
03.02.21	Real Madrid Castilla - San Sebastian Reyes	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Getafe B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
13.12.20	Atlético Madrid B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Real Madrid Castilla - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWT
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Las Rozas - DUX Internacional de Madrid	0:3 ✺
31.01.21	Poblense - Las Rozas	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Las Rozas - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Las Rozas - Eibar	3:4 ET ✺
16.12.20	Las Rozas - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
18.10.20	Las Rozas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.01.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Las Rozas	2:2
25.08.19	Las Rozas - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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