Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Real Monarchs		New York Red Bulls 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.4
	2.5	3.3	2.43
	2.6	3.3	2.3
	2.8	3.59	2.34
	2.75	3.3	2.3
	2.6	3.58	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.25)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.36 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Monarchs
34.7%

Draw
26.6%

New York Red Bulls 2
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

18.2%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Monarchs's form might have worsened.

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Red Bulls 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Monarchs - New York Red Bulls 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 15).

Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (99.92%), has project points - 24, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 7 (79.75%), has project points - 26, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Monarchs has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches New York Red Bulls 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Monarchs have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Monarchs SLC
USL Championship
18.09.21	New Mexico United - Real Monarchs	2:1 ✺
15.09.21	Hartford Athletic - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Real Monarchs - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
08.09.21	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
01.09.21	San Antonio - Real Monarchs	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
22.09.21	Charleston Battery - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
19.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
15.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
11.09.21	Tampa Bay Rowdies - New York Red Bulls 2	6:0 ✺
04.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLLW

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