The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 20.4%
Draw 24.4%
San Antonio 55.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.9%
24.6%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.3%
20.1%
67.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Antonio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Monarchs - San Antonio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).
Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (96.55%), has project points - 27, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
San Antonio has the most likely position - 2 (32.73%), has project points - 49, has currently - 31, has a good chance of playoffs (83%), has a chance of qtrs (43%), has a chance of semis (20%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Real Monarchs is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
San Antonio is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
San Antonio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Real Monarchs have a series of guest games.
In this match San Antonio is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Monarchs won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
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