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Current Win Probability
San Antonio 44.4%
Draw 27.7%
El Paso Locomotive 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.6%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
27.8%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Batrouni J. (G) 23. Buckmaster R. 5. Souahy A. 43. Tiago 3. Taintor M. (C) 4. Blanco N. 8. Hernandez N. 15. Maldonado M. 6. Calov C. 10. Hernandez J. 9. Patino S.
99. Romero A. (G) 25. Ortiz A. 21. Twumasi K. 93. Tony Alfaro 11. Farkarlun B. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
17. Barbir D. 14. Berron L. 22. Cuello E. 7. Haakenson L. 31. Namani D. (G) 70. Pacheco D. 19. Parano C. 45. Urrutia L. 42. Walker L.
13. Avila R. 2. Cardona N. 15. Dollenmayer N. 5. Gomez D. 7. Jones Z. 4. Pedro Cruz (G) 12. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Llamosa C.
Gonzalez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
20', 0 - 1, Mendez A. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
28', Twumasi K. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Mendez A. ⚽,
44', 0 - 3, Farkarlun B. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
45+1', Calvillo E. 🟨,
45+1', Batrouni J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hernandez N. ↓, Berron L. ↑,
46', Calov C. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
61', Twumasi K. ↓, Dollenmayer N. ↑,
61', Farkarlun B. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
63', Buckmaster R. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
71', Souahy A. ↓, Pacheco D. ↑,
74', Mendez A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
74', Calvillo E. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
76', Dollenmayer N. 🟨,
78', Patino S. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
82', Coronado R. ↓, Ruiz R. ↑,
83', Cuello E. 🟨,
90+3', Hernandez J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 3.
San Antonio is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
El Paso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
San Antonio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
San Antonio might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, San Antonio won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
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Batrouni J. (G) 
Souahy A. 
Blanco N. 
Hernandez J. 
Patino S. 
Farkarlun B. 
Gabriel Torres 
Rubin R. 
Berron L. 
Pacheco D. 
Cardona N. 
Dollenmayer N. 
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