Match Info

Date: 28 August 2021, Saturday


	Indy Eleven		Real Monarchs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.3
	1.74	3.2	4.2
	1.81	3.42	4.55
	1.71	3.54	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.87)	4.42 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indy Eleven
52.7%

Draw
26.8%

Real Monarchs
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

13.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.

Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indy Eleven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Monarchs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Indy Eleven - Real Monarchs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Indy has the most likely position - 4 (23.81%), has project points - 41, has currently - 23, has a chance of playoffs (44%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (87.14%), has project points - 30, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Indy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Indy have a series of guest games.

In this match Indy is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indy Eleven
USL Championship
22.08.21	Sporting Kansas City II - Indy Eleven	1:1 ✺
18.08.21	Loudoun United - Indy Eleven	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Indy Eleven - Oklahoma City Energy	2:1 ✺
08.08.21	Atlanta United II - Indy Eleven	6:2 ✺
04.08.21	Tulsa - Indy Eleven	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- Real Monarchs SLC
USL Championship
07.08.21	San Diego Loyal - Real Monarchs	0:1 ✺
04.08.21	Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley	0:3 ✺
31.07.21	El Paso Locomotive - Real Monarchs	3:1 ✺
23.07.21	Real Monarchs - Las Vegas Lights	3:2 ✺
18.07.21	Austin Bold - Real Monarchs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLLWL

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