The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 24.4%
Draw 27.4%
Rio Grande Valley 48.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
28.8%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
21.7%
58.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Rio Grande Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Grande Valley than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Grande Valley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Monarchs - Rio Grande Valley Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (100%), has project points - 23, has currently - 22, has not chance of playoffs.
Rio Grande Valley has the most likely position - 5 (49.01%), has project points - 44, has currently - 41, has a chance of playoffs (41%), has a small chance of qtrs (13%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Rio Grande Valley will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Monarchs won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.