Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 30

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.75
	1.6	3.3	5.25
	1.55	3.2	6.5
	1.63	3.4	6.84
	1.59	3.54	6.1
	1.59	3.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.12)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)	6.04 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
57.3%

Draw
27.5%

Cornellà
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

33.2%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

32.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cornellà might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Real Murcia - Cornellà Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cornellà will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

Recent matches Murcia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cornellà is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.03.23	Numancia - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Real Murcia - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Murcia - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Calahorra - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTTT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.03.23	Cornellà - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Amorebieta - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Cornellà - Eldense	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Cornellà - SD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Osasuna B - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.22	Cornellà - Real Murcia	0:0

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