Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Sabadell		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.9
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.9	3.15	4.05
	1.95	3.15	4.41
	1.89	3.18	4.41	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.94	3.25	4.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)	3.12 ↓ (3.27)	4.12 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
48.5%

Draw
29.3%

Real Murcia
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

28%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Sabadell - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 5. Bonaldo 4. Garcia C. 3. Fornes G. 23. Priego J. 24. Aguilar Elizalde E. 22. Liameed Q. 20. Orriols Cerarols A. 19. Lopez J. 17. Coscia A. 16. Godoy A.	1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 34. Sanchez J. G. 26. Perez H. 3. Romero C. 15. Gil O. 22. Juan Carlos 9. Benito P. A. P. 7. Moyita S. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
2. Aleman C. 28. Ciurans O. (G) 11. Martinez R. 13. Ortega J. (G) 18. Ortega J. 10. Ramirez Carrasco M. A. 9. Rodri 25. Ruiz N. (G) 21. Sergi . Tebar I. 26. Tolosa A.	11. Bustos A. 21. Djanbou S. 36. Garcia M. (G) 10. Gomez I. . Hellin P. . Joao Costa 14. Leon P. 40. Meca A. 17. Narro V. 27. Yoldi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', Aguilar Elizalde E. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Bosilj D. ⚽,
37', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, Aleman C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Godoy A. ↓, Rodri ↑,
62', Lopez J. ↓, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ↑,
62', Garcia C. ↓, Sergi ↑,
67', Juan Carlos ↓, Djanbou S. ↑,
71', Fornes G. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
74', Gil O. 🟨,
74', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
78', Bosilj D. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
78', Perez H. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
81', Gazzaniga G. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Bonaldo ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Martinez R. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 3.

Sabadell is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Murcia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sabadell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabadell is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sabadell won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabadell won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Sabadell - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.26	Marbella - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Sabadell - Hércules	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sevilla B - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Sabadell - Betis B	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Villarreal B - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.26	CE Europa - Real Murcia	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Real Murcia - Antequera	2:3 ✺
11.04.26	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.12.25	Real Murcia - Sabadell	0:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	Real Murcia - Sabadell	1:2 penalties
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0
11.12.22	Real Murcia - Sabadell	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
10.09.14	Real Murcia - Sabadell	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.14	Real Murcia - Sabadell	2:0
03.11.13	Sabadell - Real Murcia	2:1

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