Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Real Murcia		Elche

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.15	3.39	2.09
	2.13	3.60	3.10	Watch
	3.4	3.48	2.12	Watch
	4.3	3.85	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (4.34)	3.57 ↓ (3.9)	2.11 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
28.2%

Draw
26.7%

Elche
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

23.9%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

23.6%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - Elche Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Elche (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Murcia (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Murcia (votes: 3 - 75%). Elche (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 32. Adebayo A. 31. Djanbou S. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H. 29. Sarabia A. 28. Viglo S. 33. Vila R.	1. Dituro M. (G) 9. Andre Silva 6. Bigas P. 4. Diaby B. 18. Donald J. 14. Febas A. 38. Gonzalez N. 17. Josan 10. Mir R. 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A.
Substitutes
27. Alonso 9. Benito P. A. P. 23. Bosilj D. 11. Bustos A. 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 10. Gomez I. 6. Gonzalez A. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 3. Romero C. 24. Saveljich E. 8. Schalk A. 20. Zenitagoia E.	22. Affengruber D. 23. Chust V. . Diangana G. 45. Iturbe A. (G) . Martin C. . Martinez A. . Nordin M. 15. Nunez A. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 11. Valera G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Leon P. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Donald J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Viglo S. ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
46', Juan Carlos ↓, Schalk A. ↑,
46', Bigas P. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
46', Pedrosa A. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
46', Diaby B. ↓, Chust V. ↑,
46', Dituro M. ↓, Pena I. ↑,
54', 🟨,
64', Matheus Cadorini ↓, Bosilj D. ↑,
66', 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Joao Pedro Palmberg ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 0.

Murcia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elche is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elche has had a series of home games.

In this match, Elche is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.09.25	Marbella - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.25	Real Murcia - Melilla	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Orihuela - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Real Murcia - Eldense	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Hércules - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Madrid - Elche	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Elche - Betis	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Elche - Hércules	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Elche - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda Division B Losers Play Offs
26.05.18	Elche - Real Murcia	3:2
20.05.18	Real Murcia - Elche	0:1
Club Friendly
05.08.15	Real Murcia - Elche	0:0
10.08.13	Real Murcia - Elche	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
24.03.13	Elche - Real Murcia	1:0
21.10.12	Real Murcia - Elche	1:0
11.02.12	Real Murcia - Elche	0:2

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