Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 4

Date: 15 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Murcia		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.93	2.95	3.75
	2	3.1	4
	2	2.98	4.17
	1.94	3.03	4.12	Watch
	1.96	3.13	4.02
	2	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.86)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.98 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
46.8%

Draw
30.1%

Mérida AD
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.1%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

31%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Real Murcia - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 6. Gonzalez A. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 21. Cadete 14. Leon P. 24. Moha Moukhliss 22. Juan Carlos 15. Yriarte J. 7. Buron L. 9. Benito P. A. P.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 4. Bonaque M. 22. Climent M. 17. Ganet P. 21. Beneit R. 23. Busi 11. Doncel C. 8. Eslava J. 14. Beltran L.
Substitutes
16. Boateng R. 11. Carrillo J. 20. Knight B. 8. Larrea P. 23. Lopez A. 2. Mier J. 13. Piedra I. (G) 12. Raul A. 17. Rojas C. 4. Saveljich E. 19. Soler K.	12. Beer J. 28. del Cerro S. 16. Garcia P. 10. Juanjo 26. Macia I. (G) 9. Mizzian M. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 3. Sergi 13. Vicente D. (G) 20. Wehbe Gonzalez C. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Jaso Zunzarren A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Leon P. ⚽,
35', Ganet P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Juan Carlos ⚽,
60', Falcon E. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
60', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Raul A. ↑,
60', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Larrea P. ↑,
60', Ganet P. ↓, Juanjo ↑,
60', Beneit R. ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,
67', Leon P. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
68', Larrea P. 🟨,
73', Climent M. ↓, Beer J. ↑,
73', Eslava J. ↓, Mizzian M. ↑,
87', Lopez A. ↓, Boateng R. ↑,
87', Juan Carlos ↓, Mier J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia won 2.

Recent matches Murcia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Murcia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Murcia won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Real Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Sevilla B - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Real Murcia - Melilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.24	Mérida AD - Algeciras	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.24	Zamora - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Villanovense - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	1:1
21.10.23	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.20	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:0
13.10.19	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	1:0
18.02.18	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	0:0
01.10.17	Real Murcia - Mérida AD	1:1
08.01.17	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	0:0

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