Match Info

Date: 19 December 2021, Sunday


	Real Murcia		Mancha Real

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.58	5.08
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.68	3.45	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.13)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	4.68 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
53.6%

Draw
26.9%

Mancha Real
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

20.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mancha Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+21.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mancha Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Murcia - Mancha Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Murcia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mancha Real have a series of home games.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Águilas - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Real Murcia	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Hércules - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Real Murcia - Eldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLL
- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Mancha Real - Granada	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	Mancha Real - Hércules	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Eldense - Mancha Real	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	Mancha Real - DUX Internacional de Madrid	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.21	Mancha Real - La Nucía	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 85.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.04.17	Real Murcia - Mancha Real	3:1
13.11.16	Mancha Real - Real Murcia	3:1

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