Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		Osasuna B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	6
	1.66	3.2	4.8
	1.75	3.3	4.55
	1.66	3.35	4.8
	1.66	3.53	5.84
	1.62	3.48	5.35
	1.7	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.17)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)	5.19 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
55.2%

Draw
27.1%

Osasuna B
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

30.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Osasuna B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Real Murcia - Osasuna B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Murcia	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2 ✺
24.09.22	Barcelona B - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWL
- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.10.22	Osasuna B - Calahorra	3:1 ✺
16.10.22	Intercity - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Osasuna B - UD Logroñés	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Castellón - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Osasuna B - Eldense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

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