Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday


	Athletic Bilbao B		Real Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.87	2.6
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	3	2.8	2.45
	2.9	2.9	2.36
	2.74	3.04	2.7
	2.94	2.97	2.4
	3	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.27)	2.93 ↑ (2.88)	2.46 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
31.8%

Draw
31.2%

Real Murcia
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletic Bilbao B's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athletic Bilbao B - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Calahorra - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.09.22	Leioa - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.09.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWTT
- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.10.22	Real Murcia - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
09.10.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Murcia	3:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2 ✺
24.09.22	Barcelona B - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLT

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