Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Real Murcia B		El Palmar

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.15	5.7
	1.52	4	5.73
	1.49	4.14	5.8	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6
	1.47	3.78	6.36
	1.5	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.45)	3.98 ↑ (3.84)	5.85 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
61.6%

Draw
22.9%

El Palmar
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

23.6%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

El Palmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palmar than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Real Murcia B - El Palmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 3.

Murcia B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

El Palmar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Murcia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murcia B is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Murcia B will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:14. (average 2.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Murcia B won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	Deportivo Marítimo - Real Murcia B	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
11.01.26	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	0:3 ✺
04.01.26	Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWW
- EG El Palmar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
18.01.26	El Palmar - Yeclano B	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	El Palmar - Minerva	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Pulpileño - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	El Palmar - Águilas B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	UCAM Murcia B - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.09.25	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	0:1
09.03.25	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	2:5
27.10.24	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	2:2
17.03.24	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	7:1
29.10.23	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	2:2
19.02.23	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	0:2
23.10.22	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	2:0

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