Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.98	3.8
	9.36	6.83	1.21	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.8
	1.91	3.15	3.84
	1.92	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (1.87)	3.77 ↑ (3.35)	3.33 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
34.1%

Draw
30.9%

Real Murcia B
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Meca A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Meca A. ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, Rubira R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3.

Molinense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Murcia B has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Molinense could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Yeclano B - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	5:1 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Molinense - Águilas B	4:2 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWWWT
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
04.01.26	Real Murcia B - Atlético Santa Cruz	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4 ✺
07.12.25	Cieza - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Murcia B - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Olímpico de Totana - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.01.25	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:0
08.09.24	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	3:0
24.03.24	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	3:1
05.11.23	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:3
05.03.23	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	1:1
06.11.22	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:0

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