Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 32

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Real Murcia B		Santomera

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	4.95
	1.58	4.02	4.17
	1.52	4.00	5.77	Watch
	1.45	4.2	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	4.09 ↓ (4.3)	5.15 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia B
60.1%

Draw
22.2%

Santomera
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

21.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

16.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Real Murcia B - Santomera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Araujo Q. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
66', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Santomera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Murcia B is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Murcia B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Murcia B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santomera	5	4	1	0	11:6	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.04.26	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Real Murcia B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Bala Azul - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Real Murcia B - Olímpico de Totana	2:4 ✺
22.03.26	Cartagena B - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLT
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.04.26	Santomera - Yeclano B	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Minerva - Santomera	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Santomera - Pulpileño	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Águilas B - Santomera	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Santomera - UCAM Murcia B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.25	Santomera - Real Murcia B	0:4
01.02.25	Real Murcia B - Santomera	1:1
22.09.24	Santomera - Real Murcia B	1:0

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