Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)


	Real Oruro		GVCD San José

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.60	3.30
	1.88	3.55	3.25	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.31
	1.89	3.89	3.53	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.2
	1.85	3.54	3.49	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.57)	3.61 ↓ (3.88)	3.34 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
48.2%

Draw
24.9%

GVCD San José
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

23.9%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

23.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oruro's performance.

GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GVCD San José might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oruro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GVCD San José could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Oruro - GVCD San José Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arancibia A. (G) 33. Gatti F. 5. Corulo L. 23. Villegas Y. (C) 48. Berrios J. 26. Tifner H. 22. Rivera E. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 55. Garcia S. 19. Vallejos Y. 50. Montenegro J.	13. Arauz G. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 26. Lencinas J. 33. Landa A. 36. Justiniano G. 29. Galindo S. 38. Vargas L. 39. Teran Z. 11. Matheus Moresche 10. Ferrufino R. (C) 55. Goyeneche J.
Substitutes
42. Ardaya R. 30. Ari Cruz J. 18. Calle Y. 16. Chore C. 46. Eguez T. 32. Mendez R. 13. Pena I. (G) 9. Pinto D. 10. Quinonez A. 77. Siles C. 40. Vargas F. 37. Velez J.	7. Caceres A. 14. Calero D. 9. Monteiro R. 8. Orihuela R. 17. Quispe E. 35. Ribera C. 25. Rivas R. (G) 16. Tumiri E. 4. Vaca G. 30. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Colinas N.	Zahzu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Berrios J. 🟨,
37', Corulo L. 🟨,
38', Justiniano G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Moresche ↓, Caceres A. ↑,
46', Teran Z. ↓, Quispe E. ↑,
46', Galindo S. ↓, Ribera C. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Vallejos Y. ⚽, Montenegro J. (A),
66', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Pinto D. ↑,
71', Vargas L. ↓, Monteiro R. ↑,
72', Goyeneche J. ↓, Calero D. ↑,
73', Montenegro J. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
73', Rivera E. ↓, Ardaya R. ↑,
78', Garcia S. ↓, Calle Y. ↑,
79', Vallejos Y. ↓, Chore C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Real Oruro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

GVCD San José has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Real Oruro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:12 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Oruro against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.09.26	Real Oruro - Real Potosí	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	The Strongest - Real Oruro	5:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.09.26	Real Oruro - Nacional Potosí	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.26	Real Oruro - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.08.26	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- GVCD San José
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.09.26	Bolívar - GVCD San José	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	GVCD San José - Nacional Potosí	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
09.09.26	Blooming - GVCD San José	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Aurora - GVCD San José	3:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
02.09.26	GVCD San José - Bolívar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
29.08.26	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	4:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.07.26	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	3:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.11.25	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	2:2
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.11.25	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	1:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.25	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	4:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.25	GVCD San José - Real Oruro	0:0
Bolivian Copa Simon Bolivar
14.10.23	Real Oruro - GVCD San José	2:1

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