The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GVCD San José 45.3%
Draw 24.2%
Real Oruro 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
21.1%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.2%
18.8%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GVCD San José has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GVCD San José's form might have worsened.
Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oruro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVCD San José than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GVCD San José, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Oruro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
GVCD San José - Real Oruro Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. GVCD San José will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Real Oruro will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real Oruro: 64.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Real Oruro (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Oruro (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Arauz G. (G) 2. Ramallo J. 33. Landa A. 36. Justiniano G. 17. Quispe E. 5. Aviles M. 38. Vargas L. 55. Goyeneche J. 7. Caceres A. (C) 14. Calero D. 9. Monteiro R.
1. Arancibia A. (G) 15. Castellon D. 5. Corulo L. (C) 23. Villegas Y. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 22. Rivera E. 6. Rivera A. 37. Velez J. 9. Pinto D. 19. Vallejos Y. 10. Quinonez A.
Substitutes
66. Akologo D. (G) 34. Aramayo A. 37. Cruz Valverde L. R. 10. Ferrufino R. 29. Galindo S. 11. Matheus Moresche 8. Orihuela R. 31. Pavisic A. 18. Pinto S. 35. Ribera C. 4. Vaca G. 19. Villarroel S.
42. Ardaya R. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 18. Calle Y. 16. Chore C. 46. Eguez T. 55. Garcia S. 33. Gatti F. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 13. Pena I. (G) 26. Tifner H. 40. Vargas F.
Coaches
Baldivieso J.
Colinas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Caceres A. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Quispe E. ↓, Villarroel S. ↑,
45', 1 - 1, Corulo L. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Monteiro R. ⚽, Aviles M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Goyeneche J. ↓, Galindo S. ↑,
46', Calero D. ↓, Orihuela R. ↑,
46', Balceras Cuellar R. J. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
46', Rivera E. ↓, Bravo Adan A. F. ↑,
46', Velez J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
49', Corulo L. 🟨,
51', 3 - 1, Caceres A. (Penalty Awarded),
52', Castellon D. ↓, Gatti F. ↑,
58', Aviles M. ↓, Ribera C. ↑,
71', Monteiro R. ↓, Ferrufino R. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Vargas L. ⚽,
81', Gatti F. 🟨,
90', Rivera A. 🟥,
90+2', Ramallo J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 0.
GVCD San José has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Real Oruro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Real Oruro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, GVCD San José is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, GVCD San José won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, GVCD San José won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).