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Current Win Probability
Real Oruro 62.3%
Draw 21.3%
Real Tomayapo 16.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
23.6%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
22.8%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Oruro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oruro's performance.
Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Tomayapo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-14.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oruro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Tomayapo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Oruro - Real Tomayapo Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Oruro (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 18. Calle Y. 5. Corulo L. 22. Rivera E. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 33. Gatti F. 70. Gomez J. P. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C) 32. Mendez R. 30. Ari Cruz J. 9. Pinto D.
36. Chavez J. (G) 70. Aguirre B. 43. Aguilera C. 32. Suarez R. 15. Guerra J. (C) 21. Ramallo D. 13. Barbery Gil M. G. 35. Castillo J. 20. Padilla C. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 99. Cervantes A.
Substitutes
51. Apaza L. 42. Ardaya R. 66. Aztete J. (G) 48. Berrios J. 15. Castellon D. 55. Garcia S. 86. Martinez L. 50. Montenegro J. 10. Quinonez A. 6. Rivera A. 77. Siles C. 26. Tifner H.
22. Adorno C. (G) 26. Alarcon Cavero F. 75. Cayo T. 40. Espindola Y. 34. Flores D. 14. Galvez V. 42. Gareca C. 45. Lopez F. 64. Senzano J. 39. Torrez D.
Coaches
Colinas N.
Alfonso J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Ari Cruz J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Mendez R. ⚽, Ari Cruz J. (A),
60', Mendez R. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
60', Gomez J. P. ↓, Rivera A. ↑,
64', Ramallo D. ↓, Alarcon Cavero F. ↑,
65', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Senzano J. ↑,
65', Aguirre B. ↓, Galvez V. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Pinto D. ⚽, Gatti F. (A),
69', Ari Cruz J. ↓, Siles C. ↑,
69', Pinto D. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
73', Padilla C. ↓, Torrez D. ↑,
74', Gatti F. ↓, Ardaya R. ↑,
76', Calle Y. 🟨,
81', Senzano J. 🟨,
82', Cuellar Orti R. ↓, Cayo T. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Siles C. ⚽,
84', Guerra J. 🟨,
87', 4 - 0, Rivera A. ⚽, Bravo Adan A. F. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 3.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Real Oruro may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tomayapo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Real Oruro holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Real Oruro has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 2.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Real Oruro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).
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Pena I. (G) 
Corulo L. 
Martinez L. 
Quinonez A. 
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