Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 4

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jesús Bermúdez (Oruro)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, Futbol Canal


	Real Oruro		The Strongest

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.2	1.71	Watch
	3.65	4.15	1.72
	3.59	4.35	1.78
	3.65	4.38	1.78	Watch
	3.5	3.9	1.75
	3.69	4.14	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.28)	4.19 ↑ (4.01)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oruro
25.3%

Draw
22%

The Strongest
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

22.7%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

22%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Real Oruro - The Strongest Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Hunacota Terceros R. (G) 29. Padilha Hallysson 88. Quinonez J. 3. Soleto W. 23. Villegas Y. 21. Huayhuata I. (C) 6. Rivera A. 48. Berrios J. 10. Quinonez A. 97. Porozo D. 11. Fernandez A.	1. Banegas L. (G) 22. Saucedo W. 5. Jusino A. (C) 2. Moya J. 29. Portuncho Y. 30. Arrascaita J. 6. Welch J. 10. Castro R. 17. Estacio A. 14. Lom D. 21. Quaglio F.
Substitutes
94. Aguilera D. 1. Arancibia A. (G) 7. Barron A. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. 18. Calle Y. 15. Castellon D. 33. Gatti F. 24. Marzana A. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 19. Vallejos Y.	11. Algaranaz C. 15. Arce S. 4. Chiatti M. 31. Cuellar J. 34. Melgar S. 3. Pedraza P. 7. Romay K. 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 26. Sotomayor G. 12. Valdivia D. (G) 9. Ventura C.
Coaches
Robledo M.	Paz Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lom D. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Quinonez A. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
29', Huayhuata I. 🟥,
45', 2 - 1, Fernandez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Lom D. 🟨,
45+3', Porozo D. 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Jusino A. ↓, Chiatti M. ↑,
61', Portuncho Y. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
61', Castro R. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
66', Rivera A. 🟨,
68', Fernandez A. ↓, Tifner H. ↑,
71', Tifner H. 🟥,
72', Welch J. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
77', Quinonez A. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑,
84', Estacio A. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Sotomayor G. ⚽, Quaglio F. (A),
87', 2 - 3, Algaranaz C. ⚽, Sotomayor G. (A),

Preview

Real Oruro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

The Strongest is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Real Oruro has had a series of away games.

In this match, The Strongest is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Oruro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Oruro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	The Strongest	20	12	6	2	39:22	17	42
11	Real Oruro	20	6	3	11	32:50	-18	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDT Real Oruro
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.04.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Real Oruro	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Bolívar - Real Oruro	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.26	The Strongest - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
10.03.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLT
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
23.04.26	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	The Strongest - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
24.03.26	The Strongest - Real Oruro	4:1 ✺
11.03.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.03.26	The Strongest - Real Oruro	4:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
22.11.25	The Strongest - Real Oruro	2:1
Bolivian Copa Pacena
03.07.25	The Strongest - Real Oruro	0:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.06.25	Real Oruro - The Strongest	1:2
Bolivian Copa Pacena
22.05.25	Real Oruro - The Strongest	1:1

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