Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 3

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Universitario de Vinto		The Strongest

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.50	2.05
	3.1	3.45	1.95	Watch
	2.22	3.34	2.83
	2.32	3.64	2.75	Watch
	2.14	3.3	2.6
	2.15	3.44	2.89	Watch
	3.15	3.6	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.95)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
35.8%

Draw
26.5%

The Strongest
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.8%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.6%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.

The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Strongest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Strongest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 5. Alcocer P. 28. Jose Pinto (C) 70. Lazarte J. 6. Gomez M. 7. Dorrego H. 21. Cuellar G. 24. Rodriguez H. 15. Postigo P. 32. Pasadore F.	12. Valdivia D. (G) 7. Romay K. 22. Saucedo W. 15. Arce S. 29. Portuncho Y. 19. Roca C. 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 10. Castro R. (C) 16. Cuellar V. 24. Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. 99. Pachu
Substitutes
79. Blanco O. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 27. Calderon B. 83. Chavez S. 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 77. Garcia P. (G) 90. Saavedra D. 29. Saucedo J. 50. Vargas D. 80. Vasquez F. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.	28. Arrascaita H. 35. Buezo G. 31. Cuellar J. 40. Cueto L. 37. Espiritu P. 38. Lazaro J. 34. Melgar S. 33. Mendoza K. (G) 32. Moy L. 36. Ribera R.
Coaches
Straccia M.	Zago A. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Cuellar V. ⚽, Castro R. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Romay K. ⚽,
33', Gomez M. 🟨,
40', Jose Pinto (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Postigo P. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
60', Adin Chacon Arrascayta K. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
62', Pachu (Penalty Awarded),
64', 1 - 2, Dorrego H. ⚽,
67', Pasadore F. 🟨,
71', Esdras Mendoza ↓, Vasquez F. ↑,
74', Pachu ↓, Ribera R. ↑,
85', Pasadore F. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
85', Gomez M. ↓, Vargas D. ↑,
88', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Espiritu P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 1.

Uni de Vinto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

The Strongest is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uni de Vinto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The Strongest might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

The Strongest - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.53%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.09.26	ABB - Universitario de Vinto	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.09.26	Universitario de Vinto - Aurora	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.08.26	Universitario de Vinto - Nacional Potosí	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWLL
- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
06.09.26	The Strongest - Real Tomayapo	3:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.08.26	Bolívar - The Strongest	4:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - The Strongest	0:3 ✺
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
21.08.26	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	4:3
05.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2
04.12.25	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	0:1
29.06.25	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	3:2
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
20.02.25	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	3:0
14.02.25	The Strongest - Universitario de Vinto	1:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
26.10.24	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	2:4

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