The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 54.3%
Draw 23%
Real Oruro 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
22.6%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22.2%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Universitario de Vinto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.
Uni de Vinto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Real Oruro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Uni de Vinto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Uni de Vinto for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Vinto has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:18 (averaging 1.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Vinto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Real Oruro
20
6
3
11
32:50
-18
21
14
Universitario de Vinto
20
5
3
12
26:39
-13
18
Last Results with these Odds
Universitario de Vinto - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.34%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.