The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 67.7%
Draw 18.4%
Real Oruro 13.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.3%
22.6%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
22.2%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario de Vinto's performance.
Real Oruro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Oruro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario de Vinto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oruro than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oruro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Careaga J. (G) 76. Esdras Mendoza 27. Calderon B. 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 6. Gomez M. 24. Rodriguez H. 21. Cuellar G. 22. Calicho J. (C) 7. Dorrego H. 32. Pasadore F.
13. Pena I. (G) 33. Gatti F. 5. Corulo L. 22. Rivera E. 31. Balceras Cuellar R. J. 26. Tifner H. 6. Rivera A. 30. Ari Cruz J. 18. Calle Y. 9. Pinto D. 65. Bravo Adan A. F. (C)
Substitutes
79. Blanco O. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 66. Cuestas A. 77. Garcia P. (G) 34. Jara A. 9. Llano R. 26. Mendoza S. 90. Saavedra D. 17. Torrico D. 50. Vargas D. 19. Veizaga J. 2. Visalla G.
42. Ardaya R. 66. Aztete J. (G) 15. Castellon D. 55. Garcia S. 70. Gomez J. P. 32. Mendez R. 50. Montenegro J. 10. Quinonez A. 77. Siles C. 19. Vallejos Y. 40. Vargas F.
Coaches
Barral A.
Colinas N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Bravo Adan A. F. ⚽, Gatti F. (A),
4', 0 - 2, Bravo Adan A. F. ⚽, Pinto D. (A),
17', Balceras Cuellar R. J. 🟨,
17', Calicho J. 🟨,
22', Careaga J. 🟨,
33', Calderon B. ↓, Torrico D. ↑,
39', Rivera E. 🟨,
42', Balceras Cuellar R. J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Torrico D. 🟨,
52', Gatti F. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Cuellar G. ↓, Llano R. ↑,
56', Rodriguez H. ↓, Blanco O. ↑,
62', Rivera E. ↓, Castellon D. ↑,
62', Ari Cruz J. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
65', Montenegro J. 🟨,
68', Pasadore F. 🟨,
69', Gomez M. 🟨,
70', Tifner H. ↓, Gomez J. P. ↑,
70', Bravo Adan A. F. ↓, Vallejos Y. ↑,
75', 0 - 3, Vallejos Y. ⚽,
76', Pasadore F. ↓, Veizaga J. ↑,
76', Dorrego H. ↓, Saavedra D. ↑,
79', 1 - 3, Blanco O. ⚽, Veizaga J. (A),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Real Oruro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Uni de Vinto is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Uni de Vinto has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:18 (averaging 1.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Uni de Vinto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Real Oruro
23
8
3
12
37:56
-19
27
13
Universitario de Vinto
23
6
3
14
30:45
-15
21
Last Results with these Odds
Universitario de Vinto - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.34%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
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Careaga J. (G) 
Dorrego H. 
Pasadore F. 
Blanco O. 
Quinonez A. 
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