Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Ariana, Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	22:00	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	21:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Australia	06:00	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	22:00	DAZN, SAT1
Belarus	23:00	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	22:00	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	16:00	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	17:00	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	23:00	BNT 1, DAZN
Canada	16:00	DAZN Canada
Cape Verde	19:00	TCV Internacional
Chile	16:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	DAZN
Costa Rica	14:00	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Cote D Ivoire	20:00	NCI
Croatia	22:00	DAZN
Cuba	16:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	23:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	22:00	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Nova Sport 6, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	22:00	DAZN
Ecuador	15:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El Salvador	14:00	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	23:00	TV6
Eswatini	—	Eswatini TV
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	23:00	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	22:00	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	00:00	1TV
Germany	22:00	DAZN Deutsch, SAT1
Greece	23:00	ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	14:00	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	14:00	Deportes TV
Hong Kong	04:00	DAZN
Hungary	22:00	DAZN, Match 4
India	01:30	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	DAZN
Iran	23:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	21:00	DAZN Ireland
Israel	23:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	22:00	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:00	DAZN, Qazsport
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	22:00	ART Sport 1
Latvia	23:00	DAZN
Lithuania	23:00	DAZN, TV3
Malaysia	04:00	DAZN
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	22:00	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	00:00	MBC 11
Mexico	14:00	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	22:00	TVCG 2
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania, TV Miramar
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	14:00	Canal 13
Nigeria	21:00	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	22:00	DAZN
Norway	22:00	DAZN, VG+
Panama	15:00	Nex
Paraguay	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	15:00	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	DAZN
Poland	22:00	DAZN
Portugal	21:00	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal, TVI Player, TVI
Romania	23:00	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	23:00	DAZN
Serbia	22:00	DAZN
Slovakia	22:00	Voyo
Slovenia	22:00	DAZN
South Africa	22:00	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	22:00	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	22:00	DAZN
Switzerland	22:00	DAZN Switzerland, SAT1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	DAZN
Thailand	03:00	DAZN
Turkey	23:00	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Uganda	23:00	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	23:00	DAZN, MEGOGO Sport, Suspilne Sport
United Arab Emirates	00:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	21:00	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	17:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	16:00	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Uzbekistan	01:00	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	03:00	DAZN, FPT Play
International	20:00	Sport 24


	Real Madrid		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5	Watch
	1.6	4.33	5
	1.63	4.26	4.76
	1.68	4.17	5.14
				Watch
	1.6	4	5
	1.64	4.36	5.32
	1.63	4.26	4.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	4.23 ↓ (4.52)	5 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
58.4%

Draw
22.5%

Borussia Dortmund
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	13.5%	9.6%

Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 38 - 76%). Borussia D will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -1 - Real (2.07) (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

TQ, OT - Real (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Borussia D (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Borussia D (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 32 - 82.1%). Borussia D (votes: 7 - 17.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 22. Rudiger A. 14. Tchouameni A. 24. Huijsen D. 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 8. Valverde F. (C) 15. Guler A. 20. Garcia F. 5. Bellingham J. 30. Garcia G. 7. Vinicius Junior	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 26. Ryerson J. 20. Sabitzer M. 13. Gross P. 24. Svensson D. 10. Brandt J. (C) 9. Guirassy S. 27. Adeyemi K.
Substitutes
36. Andres C. 35. Asencio R. 2. Carvajal D. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 3. Eder Militao 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 50. Martin M. 9. Mbappe K. 10. Modric L. 44. Munoz V. 31. Ramon J. 11. Rodrygo 29. Yusi	41. Albert M. 46. Azhil A. 14. Beier M. 47. Benkara E. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 40. Inacio S. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 8. Nmecha F. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 7. Reyna G.
Coaches
Alonso X.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
37', Gross P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
46', Sule N. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
46', Gross P. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
63', Brandt J. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
63', Couto Y. 🟨,
67', Vinicius Junior ↓, Modric L. ↑,
67', Bellingham J. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
67', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
81', Duranville J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
85', Tchouameni A. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
86', Garcia G. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Beier M. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
90+5', Huijsen D. 🟥,
90+8', Mbappe K. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 2, Guirassy S. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Recently, Real has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Reinier (Inactive)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bellingham J. (Yellow Cards) Bueno G. (Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Illness) Gittens J. (Illness) Kabar A. (International duty) Ozcan S. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Watjen K. (International duty)

We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
FIFA Club World Cup
01.07.25	Real Madrid - Juventus	1:0 ✺
26.06.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Real Madrid - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.05.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTW
- Borussia Dortmund
FIFA Club World Cup
01.07.25	Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Borussia Dortmund - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund	3:4 ✺
17.06.25	Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.10.24	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	5:2
01.06.24	Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid	0:2
06.12.17	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	3:2
26.09.17	Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid	1:3
07.12.16	Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund	2:2
27.09.16	Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid	2:2
08.04.14	Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid	2:0

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