Match Info

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday


	Ceuta		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.05	2.20
	3.23	3.33	2.32
	3.10	3.20	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.14)	3.19 ↓ (3.19)	2.25 (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
29.6%

Draw
29.1%

Real Oviedo
41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

27.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ceuta have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Real Oviedo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Oviedo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Oviedo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8:8	0	11
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Real Oviedo - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
10.10.26	Ceuta - Sabadell	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Castellón - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Betis - Ceuta	Canceled ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LT?WT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
02.10.26	Eldense - Real Oviedo	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT

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