Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday


	Real Pilar		Central Ballester

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.6
	1.66	3.4	5
	1.75	3.26	5.09
	1.72	3.42	4.67	Watch
	1.64	3.38	5.22
	1.66	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.03)	3.34 ↑ (3.04)	4.93 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
54.1%

Draw
27.3%

Central Ballester
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

29%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.

Central Ballester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Ballester might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Ballester could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Real Pilar - Central Ballester Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Pilar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Luna L. 🟥,
25', 1 - 0, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Avila S. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Leguiza D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
03.09.24	Atlético Claypole - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Real Pilar - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Lugano - Real Pilar	0:4 ✺
13.08.24	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
09.08.24	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWT
- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
03.09.24	Central Ballester - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Central Ballester - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Deportivo Español - Central Ballester	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Central Ballester - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
07.04.24	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	1:1
Argentinian Primera D
23.03.19	Real Pilar - Central Ballester	1:0
21.10.18	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	0:2
26.03.18	Central Ballester - Real Pilar	0:4
28.10.17	Real Pilar - Central Ballester	1:2

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