The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 57.5%
Draw 26.1%
Juventud Unida de San Miguel 16.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51%
26.5%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
25.8%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.
Juventud Unida de San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Unida de San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Unida de San Miguel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Unida de San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Pilar - Juventud Unida de San Miguel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Cardozo D. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Fernandez E. 🟥,
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud Unida de San Miguel - the odds 4.01 are the expected chance of winning is 22.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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