Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Defensores de Cambaceres		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.29	2.91	3.56
	2.41	2.45	3.72	Watch
	2.25	2.63	3.4
	2.28	2.59	3.62	Watch
	2.16	2.6	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	2.68 ↓ (2.77)	3.42 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Cambaceres
39.9%

Draw
33.7%

Mercedes
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

32.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Cambaceres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Cambaceres than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Fernandez R. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, Calvo S. (Own goal),
59', 2 - 1, Meschini A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambaceres won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cambaceres might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cambaceres won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambaceres won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Mercedes - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 27.73%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Puerto Nuevo	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Leones de Rosario	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLWW
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
03.05.26	Mercedes - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mercedes - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Estrella del Sur - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
20.06.25	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:1
07.03.25	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0
20.07.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	0:0
17.02.24	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:0
Argentinian Primera D
28.10.23	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0
15.07.23	Defensores de Cambaceres - Mercedes	2:0
07.04.23	Mercedes - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:1

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