Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Oriental		Real SC

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	4.2
	1.68	3.6	4.5
	1.71	3.61	4.54
	1.72	3.61	4.54
	1.67	3.66	4.46
	1.68	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.37)	4.44 ↑ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
54.1%

Draw
25.4%

Real SC
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.9%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

20.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental's performance.

Real SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 0, Fernandes Silva D. C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oriental won 0.

Recent matches Oriental is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real SC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oriental will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oriental won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Oriental won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.03.24	Louletano - Oriental	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Oriental - Setúbal	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Oriental - Elvas	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Oriental - Juventude de Évora	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWL
- Real SC de Queluz
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
24.03.24	Real SC - Juventude de Évora	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Barreirense - Real SC	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Sintrense - Real SC	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Real SC	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Real SC - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.12.23	Real SC - Oriental	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.12.20	Real SC - Oriental	1:0
09.02.20	Oriental - Real SC	0:2
15.09.19	Real SC - Oriental	1:1
20.04.19	Oriental - Real SC	0:0
09.12.18	Real SC - Oriental	2:0
29.01.17	Oriental - Real SC	3:2

Oriental - Real SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide