The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Universitario de Vinto 28.9%
Draw 26.6%
Aurora 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.7%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
26.9%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Vinto's form might have worsened.
Aurora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurora's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Vinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Universitario de Vinto - Aurora Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
77. Garcia P. (G) 5. Alcocer P. 27. Calderon B. 28. Jose Pinto 76. Esdras Mendoza 50. Vargas D. 17. Torrico D. (C) 70. Lazarte J. 37. Cabrera Suarez L. 90. Saavedra D. 79. Blanco O.
12. Cordano R. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 4. Vidaurre I. 3. Barboza L. (C) 21. Ortiz M. 70. Torrico J. 5. Amarilla A. 23. Huayhuata I. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 9. Rangel M.
Substitutes
22. Calicho J. 12. Careaga J. (G) 83. Chavez S. 21. Cuellar G. 66. Cuestas A. 6. Gomez M. 26. Mendoza S. 32. Pasadore F. 15. Postigo P. 29. Saucedo J. 2. Visalla G.
16. Barro L. 6. Carrasco S. 15. Cordova J. 11. Mojica H. 20. Pacheco A. 94. Rey A. 18. Rojas S. 14. Sanchez H. 69. Terrazas A. 1. Terrazas J. (G) 7. Vaca H. 28. Vaca O.
Coaches
Straccia M.
Diaz E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Cabrera Suarez L. ⚽,
29', Blanco O. 🟨,
43', Vargas D. 🟨,
43', Barboza L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vargas D. ↓, Calicho J. ↑,
46', Cabrera Suarez L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
46', Huayhuata I. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
46', Ortiz M. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
56', Saavedra D. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
56', Blanco O. ↓, Pasadore F. ↑,
59', Torrico D. 🟨,
61', Sanchez E. ↓, Mojica H. ↑,
70', Rangel M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Vidaurre I. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
82', Rangel M. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Mojica H. ⚽,
90', Altamirano S. 🟥,
90+3', Torrico D. ↓, Visalla G. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.
Recent form of Uni de Vinto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Aurora has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Aurora has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).