Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Santander		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.98
	3.66	3.26	2.06
	7.78	3.94	1.44	Watch
	3.43	3.53	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.5)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	1.9 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
21.9%

Draw
27.7%

Cúcuta Deportivo
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

26.6%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cúcuta will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Cúcuta (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cúcuta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mora J. (G) 5. Ariza A. (C) 11. Diaz M. 31. Garcia J. 8. Gomez J. 16. Hernandez J. 27. Moreno B. 18. Orejuela S. 4. Pertuz J. 7. Rueda Juan 24. Yanes L.	12. Sanchez R. (G) 32. Agudelo J. 16. Borja A. 3. Calcaterra D. 8. Ceballos J. 70. Cruz W. 49. Hinestroza L. 6. Orozco S. 30. Payares L. 29. Rios L. 19. Valencia J.
Substitutes
70. Ahumada S. 17. Jimenez S. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 33. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 10. Rivera Mendoza F. I. 26. Roman B. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 2. Solis J.	2. Ballesteros A. 20. Diaz J. 21. Guevara L. 4. Plazas H. 7. Ramos J. 24. Roman S. (G) 33. Tamara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Rueda Juan 🟥,
11', Valencia J. 🟨,
14', Cruz W. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Valencia J. ⚽,
45+5', Orozco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Borja A. ↓, Guevara L. ↑,
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
46', Garcia J. ↓, Rivera Mendoza F. I. ↑,
55', Valencia J. ↓, Ballesteros A. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Rios L. ⚽,
66', Orejuela S. ↓, Rey S. ↑,
69', Diaz M. 🟨,
69', Rios L. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', Orozco S. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
70', Agudelo J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
70', Rios L. ↓, Tamara S. ↑,
76', Yanes L. 🟨,
77', Ballesteros A. 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
80', Calcaterra D. 🟥,
80', Payares L. 🟨,
83', Gomez J. ↓, Ruiz Bravo D. F. ↑,
90', Yanes L. ↓, Ahumada S. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Cúcuta is Qualified for Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 1.

Recent form of Real Santander has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cúcuta is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cúcuta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
04.10.25	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	4:0 ✺
14.09.25	Orsomarso - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera B
05.10.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Leones	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Atlético Cali - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Barranquilla - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.09.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1
06.05.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1
31.03.25	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1
09.10.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2
05.10.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	6:0
02.05.24	Real Santander - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:3
24.03.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1

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