Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Santander		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.87	3	2.25
	3.6	3.05	2.05
	4.1	3.13	2
	3.95	3.11	2.02	Watch
	3.7	2.8	2
	3.97	2.99	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.15)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.05 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
24.8%

Draw
30.4%

Deportes Quindío
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

30.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Deportes Quindío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Quindío's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Real Santander - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 13 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Quindío: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.32) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportes Quindío will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mora J. (C) 13. Caicedo L. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 23. Moreno B. 30. Perez J. 24. Rangel L. 9. Rey S. 6. Ruiz Bravo D. F. 25. Segura A.	12. Pabon S. (G) 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 21. Cordoba J. 7. Lloreda J. 19. Marin R. 20. Ocampo J. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 9. Rodriguez J. 17. Sandoval J.
Substitutes
15. Ararat J. 8. Garcia J. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 12. Lazaro J. (G) 35. Montero Alarcon F. 2. Perez J. 10. Rivera Mendoza F. I. 20. Salas H. 31. Tapia R.	11. Chala J. 23. Esterilla E. 24. Ibarguen J. P. 10. Javier Reina 15. Mosquera F. 22. Payares M. 1. Silva J. (G) 16. Torres Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Carabali R. A. F. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Sandoval J. 🟥,
62', 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Lloreda J. (Penalty Awarded),
74', 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Rivera Mendoza F. I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 0.

Real Santander has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Quindío is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportes Quindío will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Santander won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:37. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Santander won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.9:1.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16
13	Real Santander	11	2	6	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Primera B
28.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
23.02.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Real Santander - Atlético Cali	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTL
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
28.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.10.25	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1
27.04.25	Deportes Quindío - Real Santander	4:2
10.08.24	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:2
22.02.24	Deportes Quindío - Real Santander	4:0
22.08.23	Deportes Quindío - Real Santander	1:1
08.03.23	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	0:1
03.11.22	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	3:2

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