Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Villa Concha (Piedecuesta)


	Real Santander		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.85	Watch
				Watch
	3.38	3.3	2.17
	4.33	3.37	1.86	Watch
	4.3	3.4	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.46)	3.49 ↑ (3.28)	1.93 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Santander
24.1%

Draw
27%

Deportivo Pasto
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

28.1%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.6%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Real Santander - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Real Santander will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Santander (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Santander (votes: 1 - 50%). Deportivo Pasto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Rendon K. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Rueda Juan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Real Santander is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Deportivo Pasto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Santander may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Pasto is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Santander
Colombian Copa
01.06.25	Atlético Cali - Real Santander	3:2 ✺
29.05.25	Real Santander - Unión Magdalena	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
18.05.25	Atlético Huila - Real Santander	0:0 ✺
12.05.25	Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira	0:3 ✺
06.05.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Santander	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Copa
02.06.25	Deportivo Pasto - Llaneros SA	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
25.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pasto	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

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