Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zubieta (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Izzi TV
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Real Sociedad B		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.37	3.10	2.80
	2.40	3.15	2.70	Watch
	2.52	3.34	3.03
	2.53	3.23	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.30	2.90
	2.45	3.16	3.06	Watch
	2.40	3.25	2.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	3.2 ↓ (3.28)	2.91 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
38.5%

Draw
29.3%

Granada
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

28.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Real Sociedad B - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Granada will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad B: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Granada (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (6.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 2. Garro J. 29. Ropero I. 15. Calderon I. 3. Balda J. (C) 14. Carbonell T. 8. Aguirre I. 7. Diaz D. 16. Gorosabel G. 17. Astiazaran L. 18. Carrera G.	1. Flores A. (G) 30. Juanjo 5. Lama M. 23. Gimber B. 18. Lopez S. 3. Hormigo D. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 6. Gumbau G. 33. Garcia A. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 19. Onouha C.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. 24. Ayo U. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 38. Fernandez X. 13. Folgado T. (G) 26. Isasa B. 6. Lebarbier A. 32. Olasagasti L. (G) 12. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 19. Soroeta J.	8. Aleman P. 2. Casadesus P. 35. Dembele B. 22. Diallo B. 27. Jimenez Gambin M. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 10. Pascual J. 7. Rodelas S. 32. Rodriguez D. 16. Varela Pampin D.
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Hormigo D. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Gorosabel G. ⚽, Astiazaran L. (A),
29', 2 - 0, Carrera G. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
35', Gimber B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Onouha C. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
46', Hormigo D. ↓, Aleman P. ↑,
46', Gimber B. ↓, Jimenez Gambin M. ↑,
46', Garcia A. ↓, Varela Pampin D. ↑,
56', Garro J. 🟨,
63', 2 - 1, Arnaiz J. M. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Balda J. 🟨,
66', Diaz D. ↓, Lebarbier A. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Arnaiz J. M. ⚽,
69', Aguirre I. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
69', Ropero I. ↓, Ayo U. ↑,
72', Lebarbier A. 🟨,
81', Carbonell T. ↓, Oleaga J. ↑,
81', Calderon I. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
84', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Pascual J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 14th and 13th).

Real Sociedad B has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Granada is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Granada could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Real Sociedad B has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Real Sociedad B: Kita K. (Red Card) Mariezkurrena A. (Red Card) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Granada: Bamba K. (Injury) Chukwuemeka O. M. (International duty) Marques A. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Granada: Diallo B. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad B has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 1:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Sociedad B against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Granada CF: 2.01% Real Sociedad B: 1.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
16	Real Sociedad B	8	2	2	4	11:13	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad B - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Granada - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
English Premier League International Cup
30.09.26	Leicester City U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Ceuta - Real Sociedad B	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Real Sociedad B - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
15.09.26	Aston Villa U21 - Real Sociedad B	5:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.26	FC Andorra - Real Sociedad B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLLLW
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.26	Granada - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Córdoba - Granada	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	0:2
04.10.25	Granada - Real Sociedad B	5:2

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