Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 9

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	08:15	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	16:15	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Burgos		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.10	3.00	Watch
	2.40	3.10	2.75
	2.28	3.10	2.90	Watch
	2.60	3.14	3.10
	2.58	3.08	2.93	Watch
	2.55	3.10	3.00
	2.36	3.10	3.26	Watch
	2.46	3.10	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
38.2%

Draw
30.3%

Granada
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Burgos - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Granada will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 29% – 96%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.95) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 15. Luengo O. 8. Sierra G. 22. Martinez B. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 4. Galdames P. 12. Vencedor U. 19. Llabres J. 9. Fores A. 16. Sanchez C. (C)	1. Flores A. (G) 18. Lopez S. 30. Juanjo 5. Lama M. 16. Varela Pampin D. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 6. Gumbau G. 7. Rodelas S. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 27. Jimenez Gambin M.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 23. Dadie Izagirre A. 18. del Cerro S. 21. Garcia F. 6. Gonzalez S. 20. Gragera J. 1. Iribarne B. (G) 7. Karrikaburu J. 24. Lencina S. 36. Martinez I. 11. Mollejo V. 3. Vilarrasa I.	17. Bamba K. 2. Casadesus P. 36. Chukwuemeka O. M. 35. Dembele B. 22. Diallo B. 33. Garcia A. 23. Gimber B. 3. Hormigo D. 13. Lizoain R. (G) 19. Onouha C. 10. Pascual J. 32. Rodriguez D.
Coaches
Francisco S.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Lizancos A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Aleman P. ⚽, Rodelas S. (A),
30', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
44', Galdames P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
55', Jimenez Gambin M. ↓, Chukwuemeka O. M. ↑,
55', Rodelas S. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
64', Lizancos A. ↓, Dadie Izagirre A. ↑,
64', Galdames P. ↓, Gragera J. ↑,
65', Sanchez C. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
68', Varela Pampin D. ↓, Diallo B. ↑,
68', Lopez S. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
77', Fores A. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,
83', Vencedor U. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
83', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Onouha C. ↑,
90', Pascual J. 🟨,
90+3', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,
90+4', Pascual J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.

Burgos is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Granada is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Burgos: Exposito M. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Granada: Bamba K. (Injury) Marques A. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Burgos: Gonzalez S. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Burgos has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burgos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	4	20
6	Burgos CF	11	6	2	3	16:12	4	20

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Granada CF: 4.72% Burgos CF: 4.72%

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Granada - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Granada - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Granada - Burgos	0:1
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1
10.01.25	Granada - Burgos	0:0
29.09.24	Burgos - Granada	2:2
04.03.23	Burgos - Granada	1:3
11.12.22	Granada - Burgos	1:0

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