Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Burgos		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.37	3.20	2.75
	2.38	3.15	2.85
	2.53	3.4	2.9
	2.49	3.24	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.8
	2.48	3.32	2.97
	2.39	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
38.3%

Draw
28.8%

Granada
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

28.6%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Burgos - Granada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 1.

Burgos is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Granada is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Burgos has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Burgos against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Burgos CF: 4.78% Granada CF: 2.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.68%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Granada - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.72%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Burgos - Eldense	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Las Palmas - Burgos	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Burgos - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Real Oviedo - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
04.10.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Granada - FC Andorra	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Leganés - Granada	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Granada - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Eibar - Granada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Granada - Burgos	0:1
22.09.25	Burgos - Granada	1:1
10.01.25	Granada - Burgos	0:0
29.09.24	Burgos - Granada	2:2
04.03.23	Burgos - Granada	1:3
11.12.22	Granada - Burgos	1:0

Burgos - Granada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide