The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Unión de Irun 29.8%
Draw 29.9%
Alcoyano 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
27.6%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
27.2%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Real Unión de Irun - Alcoyano Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Real Unión will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Alcoyano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real Unión: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Recent matches Real Unión is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Alcoyano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.