Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadium Gal (Irun)


	Real Unión de Irun		UD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.52	3.05	2.98
	2.62	2.94	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3.06	3.13
	2.21	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.22)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Unión de Irun
39.1%

Draw
30.7%

UD Logroñés
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.8%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Unión (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Real Unión (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Real Unión (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Unión (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 1 - 0, Louakima C. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, Txoperena U. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 0.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Real Unión might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Real Unión won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Unión won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.09.25	Beasain - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Mutilvera	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTWW
- UD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.09.25	Mutilvera - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	UD Logroñés - Ebro	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	UD Logroñés - Náxara	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Alavés B - UD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Haro Deportivo - UD Logroñés	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.24	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	2:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
11.09.22	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	0:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.02.22	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1
19.09.21	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.19	UD Logroñés - Real Unión de Irun	3:2
17.02.19	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	0:0

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