Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 17

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.75
	2.45	2.7	2.7
	2.6	2.75	2.65
	2.85	2.8	2.48
	2.55	2.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
34.5%

Draw
32.3%

Arandina
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Real Ávila - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 1.

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Real Ávila could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.01.23	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
08.01.23	Salamanca - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
18.12.22	Real Ávila - Numancia B	3:2 ✺
11.12.22	Becerril - Real Ávila	0:3 ✺
04.12.22	Real Ávila - Atlético Tordesillas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWWW
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.01.23	Arandina - Unami CP	3:0 ✺
08.01.23	Arandina - Ponferradina B	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Mirandés B - Arandina	2:3 ✺
11.12.22	Atlético Astorga - Arandina	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Arandina - Salamanca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
17.09.22	Arandina - Real Ávila	1:1
16.02.22	Real Ávila - Arandina	2:1
07.02.21	Arandina - Real Ávila	3:2
15.11.20	Real Ávila - Arandina	1:1
21.04.19	Real Ávila - Arandina	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.03.18	Arandina - Real Ávila	2:0
27.08.17	Real Ávila - Arandina	3:3

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