Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Salamanca		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.88	3.3
	2.2	2.87	3.95
	2.01	3.23	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salamanca
43.4%

Draw
30.9%

Real Ávila
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

27.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

The chances for Real Ávila have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Hernandez D. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Runy ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 2, Carrion A. ⚽,
51', 1 - 3, Serrano Iranzo G. ⚽,
71', Servetti Rodriguez P. J. 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salamanca won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Salamanca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Salamanca won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Salamanca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salamanca
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Valladolid B - Salamanca	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Salamanca - Coruxo	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Salamanca - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Numancia - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Salamanca - Sarriana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWLLW
- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sarriana - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Real Ávila - Real Avilés	1:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
25.10.25	Real Ávila - Sámano	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
23.04.25	Real Ávila - Salamanca	0:1
10.11.24	Salamanca - Real Ávila	2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.03.24	Real Ávila - Salamanca	0:2
15.10.23	Salamanca - Real Ávila	0:2
07.05.23	Salamanca - Real Ávila	2:0
30.04.23	Real Ávila - Salamanca	2:0
22.04.23	Real Ávila - Salamanca	0:1

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