Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Atlético Palencia

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.65	4.7
	1.59	3.9	4.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.97)	3.78 ↑ (2.85)	4.81 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
57.4%

Draw
23.9%

Atlético Palencia
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

32.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

31.6%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Ávila's performance.

Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Ávila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 13).

Recent matches Real Ávila is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Palencia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Palencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Ávila is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.10.22	Mirandés B - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Unami CP - Real Ávila	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Real Ávila - Ponferradina B	4:3 ✺
17.09.22	Arandina - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Real Ávila - Atlético Astorga	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTWTT
- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
09.10.22	Atlético Palencia - Unami CP	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ponferradina B - Atlético Palencia	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Atlético Palencia - Arandina	1:2 ✺
17.09.22	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Palencia - Salamanca	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
30.01.22	Real Ávila - Atlético Palencia	2:0

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