Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Colegios Diocesanos

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.75	7.25
	1.43	3.75	6.78
	1.43	3.75	6.78
	1.38	3.98	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.34)	3.81 ↓ (4.14)	7.18 ↓ (8.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
63.8%

Draw
23.7%

Colegios Diocesanos
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

21.8%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

20.9%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Colegios Diocesanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Ávila, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegios Diocesanos than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Real Ávila is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colegios Diocesanos is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Colegios Diocesanos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Ávila is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Ávila to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ávila won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.11.23	Atlético Astorga - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Ávila - Atlético Tordesillas	3:2 ✺
12.11.23	Atlético Palencia - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Leonesa B - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWTT
- CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
25.11.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Bembibre	0:0 ✺
18.11.23	Laguna de Tenerife - Colegios Diocesanos	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Becerril	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Mirandés B - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Colegios Diocesanos - Ponferradina B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
19.02.22	Colegios Diocesanos - Real Ávila	0:2
12.10.21	Real Ávila - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0
28.02.21	Real Ávila - Colegios Diocesanos	2:0

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