Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Atlético Palencia		Real Ávila

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.95	2.75
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.45	2.83	2.88
	2.45	2.83	2.88
	2.41	3	2.83
	2.45	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (3.06)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.82 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Palencia
37.2%

Draw
30.8%

Real Ávila
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.4%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Palencia's performance.

Real Ávila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Ávila might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Palencia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Ávila could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atlético Palencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Real Ávila will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Palencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Palencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.11.23	Bembibre - Atlético Palencia	3:1 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Palencia - Laguna de Tenerife	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Becerril - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Atlético Palencia - Mirandés B	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.11.23	Real Ávila - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Leonesa B - Real Ávila	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Real Ávila - Almazán	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Salamanca - Real Ávila	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Bembibre - Real Ávila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.02.23	Atlético Palencia - Real Ávila	0:1
16.10.22	Real Ávila - Atlético Palencia	1:0
30.01.22	Real Ávila - Atlético Palencia	2:0

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