Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Adolfo Suárez (Avila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hungary	Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Spain	M+ LaLiga 4


	Real Ávila		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.75	1.57	Watch
	6	3.9	1.58
	6	3.75	1.55
	6.31	3.79	1.55
	6.02	3.92	1.55	Watch
	5.8	3.75	1.53
	5.9	3.92	1.6
	6	3.75	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↓ (6.5)	3.82 ↓ (4.5)	1.56 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
15.5%

Draw
24.5%

Valladolid
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

20.2%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

18.2%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

The ML Model estimate for Real Ávila aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Real Ávila - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Real Ávila will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Valladolid will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valladolid: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Pablo A. (G) 7. Campos J. 19. Alpha M. 5. Pascual C. 22. Garrido Diaz F. 2. Doumbia I. 21. Moreno A. G. 8. Sisse F. 11. Toper 9. Rivas M. 14. Martin A.	1. Ferreira A. (G) 22. Rosa L. 5. Sanchez J. 3. Torres D. 30. Ruiz R. C. 16. de la Hoz C. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 12. Martin M. 23. Anuar 14. Latasa J. 18. Machis D.
Substitutes
24. Caio Lopes 20. Carrion A. 12. Cassio Junior 13. Celada A. (G) 18. El Battioui A. 15. Llopis C. 27. Luz P. 17. Ochoa D. 6. Safrai 23. Vitolo	28. Chuki 15. Comert E. 13. Hein K. (G) 35. Juma Bah A. 20. Juric S. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A. 8. Perez K. 2. Perez L. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.
Coaches
de la Fuente M.	Rubio A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Latasa J. ⚽, Torres D. (A),
16', Sisse F. 🟨,
24', Doumbia I. 🟨,
31', de la Fuente M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Garrido Diaz F. ↓, Vitolo ↑,
46', Sisse F. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Carrion A. ⚽,
52', Campos J. 🟨,
52', Rosa L. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Carrion A. ⚽,
56', Machis D. ↓, Comert E. ↑,
56', Sanchez J. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
66', Latasa J. 🟨,
67', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, Perez K. ↑,
67', Rosa L. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
67', Martin M. ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Marcos Andre ⚽,
76', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
80', Moreno A. G. ↓, Llopis C. ↑,
80', Doumbia I. ↓, Safrai ↑,
90+3', Campos J. ↓, Luz P. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', Anuar ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
98', Pascual C. 🟨,
99', Pascual C. ↓, Ochoa D. ↑,
112', 2 - 3, Marcos Andre ⚽,
118', Safrai 🟨,
119', 2 - 4, Perez K. ⚽,

Preview

Real Ávila is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valladolid is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Valladolid is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Real Ávila - Numancia	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Real Ávila - Laredo	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Salamanca - Real Ávila	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Real Ávila - Llanera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.24	Valladolid - Atlético Madrid	0:5 ✺
22.11.24	Getafe - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Valladolid - AVS	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.24	Valladolid - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Osasuna - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTL

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