Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Recambios Colón		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	6.3	3.65	1.47
	6.44	3.72	1.51
	7	3.7	1.44
	6.28	3.98	1.52
	7	4	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (5.49)	3.81 ↑ (3.8)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Recambios Colón
13.8%

Draw
24%

Villarreal C
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

23.8%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

21.7%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Recambios Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Villarreal C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recambios Colón than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Recambios Colón - Villarreal C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recambios Colón won 0.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Villarreal C may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Villarreal C is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:20. (average 0.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Recambios Colón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Villarreal C	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Recambios Colón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.01.26	Recambios Colón - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Recambios Colón	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Recambios Colón - Soneja	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Buñol - Recambios Colón	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Recambios Colón - Utiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTLLT
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.01.26	Torrellano - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Villarreal C - Hércules B	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Villarreal C - Levante B	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Atzeneta - Villarreal C	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Castellonense - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.09.25	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	5:0
06.03.22	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	1:0
31.10.21	Recambios Colón - Villarreal C	0:1
28.02.21	Recambios Colón - Villarreal C	0:3
05.12.20	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	1:1
12.01.20	Villarreal C - Recambios Colón	1:1
24.08.19	Recambios Colón - Villarreal C	0:3

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